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For those faithful readers who follow this blog, you will recall that THE ONE OVERRIDING premise (hypothesis) with respect to understanding the Francis
papcy bishopric of Rome is through the Vatican media operation. To be more precise, the media narrative that has been created around Francis is nothing short of a prima facie example of a VIRTUAL REALITY. This VIRTUAL REALITY is what we have labeled the Soap Bubble Papacy™. (see here)
Over the course of the last two years, this humble blogger along with a whole host of REALITY BASED clerics and laity have also been noticing this phenomenon. (see here)
However up to now, the riposte was always the same argument: But, but, but… his polling numbers are in the stratosphere.
Well, they are no longer.
Below is a re-blog of the latest survey of Francis’ favorability ratings from the U.S., and it is not pretty. On an aside, the reason the U.S. is important is because it represents the largest share of what is known behind the Sacred Vatican Walls as the contributions made pursuant to Canon 1271 of the Code of Canon Law. In other words, these contributions represent the income that the Vatican receives from the bishops of the Universal Church. But more about just this in a future post.
Therefore, as go Francis’ popularity figures in the US, so goes his
papacy bishopric of Rome. And no amount of self-serving media hype will change this. Therefore, the latest favorability figures from Gallup are bad news for Francis. Bad news indeed.
Below is the re-post of the Gallup survey and it is presented… (see here)
FOR THE RECORD
Pope Francis’ Favorable Rating Drops in U.S.
WASHINGTON, D.C. — Pope Francis’ favorability rating in the U.S. has returned to where it was when he was elected pope. It is now at 59%, down from 76% in early 2014. The pontiff’s rating is similar to the 58% he received from Americans in April 2013, soon after he was elected pope.
After Pope Francis was elected the leader of the 1.2 billion-member Roman Catholic Church in March 2013, he attempted to focus the church on a renewed sense of protecting the poor, on interfaith relations and on respecting gay and lesbian members of the church. He was lauded in the American news media, with accolades including Time magazine naming him the Person of the Year in 2013. The next time Gallup asked about Pope Francis, in February 2014, his favorability had swelled to 76%.
In the current poll, conducted July 8-12, Francis’ favorable rating declined, while his unfavorable rating increased to 16% from 9% in 2014. One-quarter of Americans say they have never heard of him or have no opinion, up from 16% in 2014. Now removed from the plaudits of 2013 and the high ratings of 2014, it appears that fewer Americans know enough about the pope to be able to rate him.
Pope’s Image Among Catholics and Conservatives Worsens
The drop in the pope’s favorable rating is driven by a decline among Catholics and political conservatives, two groups that have been ardent supporters of the modern papacy. Seventy-one percent of Catholics say they have a favorable image of Francis, down from 89% last year.
Pope Francis’ drop in favorability is even starker among Americans who identify as conservative — 45% of whom view him favorably, down sharply from 72% last year. This decline may be attributable to the pope’s denouncing of “the idolatry of money” and attributing climate change partially to human activity, along with his passionate focus on income inequality — all issues that are at odds with many conservatives’ beliefs.
The pope’s image has taken a hit among liberals and moderates as well. Francis’ favorable rating among liberals fell 14 percentage points. Many liberals have criticized the pope for not embracing ordination of women as priests or allowing priests to marry. His papacy is still relatively new, however, and in time he may address these long-standing doctrinal questions more fully.
Francis’ Ratings Higher Than Benedict’s, but Below John Paul’s
Pope Francis’ 59% favorable rating exceeds the 40% who viewed Pope Benedict XVI favorably in 2010, before he retired in early 2013 after an eight-year papacy. Benedict was plagued by priest abuse scandals in the last years of his papacy. Americans’ views of Benedict were higher before 2010, but never as high as the 76% achieved by Francis last year.
In contrast, Pope John Paul II, who served as the spiritual leader of the Roman Catholic Church for nearly 27 years, always polled above 60% in the 1990s and 2000s, reaching a high of 86% favorability in late 1998. The 64% who have viewed Francis favorably throughout his papacy is below John Paul’s average of 72%.
Also, a higher percentage of Americans say they have never heard of Francis than said the same about John Paul II. However, on average, a significantly higher percentage of Americans said they had never heard of Pope Benedict, reaching 39% in 2005.
Pope Francis is still viewed favorably among Americans, but his image has declined since early 2014. The decline in his favorable rating reflects, in part, the increase in the percentage of Americans who don’t have an opinion of the pope, but also a sharp drop in favorable opinions among Catholics and political conservatives.
Pope Francis’ image may rebound once he makes his first visit to the U.S. in September. The pope will be traveling to New York, Philadelphia and Washington, D.C., and will be the first pope to address a joint session of Congress. Pope John Paul II’s image was boosted by his trips to the U.S. in 1993 and 1999, and Pope Benedict received his greatest favorability rating — 63% — when he visited the U.S. in 2008.
Historical data for this question may be found in Gallup Analytics.
Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted July 8-12, 2015, with a random sample of 1,009 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.
Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 50% cellphone respondents and 50% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.
Learn more about how Gallup Poll Social Series works.