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Francis DisasterYesterday we linked to a post which falls into the category that we termed: The Francis Effect. As to the definition of what constitutes the Francis Effect, it is nothing more than the rate of change (disintegration in our case) in the number of Catholic Faithful (practicing) since Francis became the pope bishop of Rome.

Using a mathematical definition, one can assume that in our case, the institution of the Catholic Church as measured by the total population of practicing Catholics (total number of Faithful making contributions pursuant to Canon 1271 of the Code of Canon Law) would constitute the real variable and that the rate of this growth/decline in the population of practicing Catholics would constitute the dependant variable. We further assume that the growth/decline in the general population of practicing Catholics can be defined as a mathematical function, therefore the rate of change of this mathematical function would be our first derivative. This first derivative is what we call The Francis Effect.

To summarize, The Francis Effect is nothing more than the rate of change (decline) with respect to the number of practicing Catholics in the universal Church since Francis’ investiture.

Given the above, and further given that there is no set of data in existence that can provide the numbers needed to make the above measurements, your humble blogger is resigned to use more limited sets of data, i.e. samples in order to make inferences as to the general situation within the entire population.

Without going into the different types of sample data sets that your humble blogger uses, below is a list of recent posts which contain various types of data samples that your humble blogger uses and resulting inferences made as to the general state of the Catholic Church as an institution:

T -223: Only 9,000 Gather With Francis For Ash Wednesday’s Angelus (see here)

T -179: Francis is “Home Alone” (see here)

T -200: Searching for the “Illusive Francis Effect” w/Update (see here)

T -75: The Francis Effect And Its New Bedfellows  (see here)

T -74: Giving an Accounting to Peter (see here)

Major Development – Francis Suffers Significant Drop in Polls ( see here)

In the below section, both visual and quantitative evidence will be used to add to our growing body of evidence as to the nature and rate of decline disintegration of the population of practicing Catholics caused by the Francis Effect. Over at the Rome Reports website, a video appeared in a post dated from the 4th of August titled Pope prays Vespers with more than 9,000 altar servers (see here).

Below I took a few screen shots from this video and provide them with limited commentary for your general information.

Screenshot #1 Notice the empty spaces at the top of the screenshot.

Vespers Francis Effect I

ScreenShot #2 Notice the novel garnment worn by Francis at Vespers.

Vespers Francis Effect II

Screenshot #3 More empty space at an official papal function on St. Peter’s Square.

Vespers Francis Effect III

Screenshot #4 A post from the last time (5 years earlier) that a Pope prayed Vespers with altar server. This event occurred under the papacy of Benedict XVI in 2010 and was attended by over 50,000 alter servers.

Vespers Francis Effect IV

Concluding, all one needs to do is look at the math.

2010 50,000

2015 9,000

Growth/Decline = – 82%

Therefore, the Francis Effect as it pertains to Faithful Catholics who come to St. Peter’s Square and as measured by the attendance at Vespers by altar boys, is an 82% decrease of the level during the Benedict pontificate.

But that is not all.

Please notice that the drop during the attendance  at the Vespers with altar boys in 2015 was a negative 82% (- 82%) {(50,000-9,000)/50,000}. In the post titled Only 9,000 Gather With Francis For Ash Wednesday’s Angelus, the number of attendance in the last year of Benedict XVI’s reign was given as: “A measly 50,000 Faithful showed up for B XVI last Ash Wednesday”. Again we see this proportion of Faithful attending Francis events versus Benedict events of 9,000 and 50,000 respectively. Therefore, the attendance figures for the Vespers event confirms the attendance figures for the Ash Wednesday Angelus. The further significance of these two independent and unrelated data points, data points that provide almost identical attendance figures and by extension the same proportions, is not without significance. What we could be dealing with here is a quantitative representation of the destruction that Francis has wrought on Catholic Church as an institution in just two short years of his reign.

In other words, the REAL FRANCIS EFFECT.

Nuff Said!