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NORMALIZATION PROCESS™ has just broken through in France. Today the French Right has had their primary and the winner of the vote, by a YUUUUUGE margin was Monsieur Francois Fillon.
For those not familiar with Fillon, here are some key aspect of his campaign before today’s results were known: (see here) (emphasis and added emphasis added)
On social policy, the 62-year-old Fillon, for instance, opposes same-sex partners adopting children. Such a conservative agenda has allowed him to secure votes among anti-gay marriage groups. He also advocates making it harder for children born to foreign surrogate mothers to obtain French citizenship. Juppe, while on the campaign trail, stated that he does not plan to amend the 2013 gay marriage law to prohibit adoptions or change France’s adoption rules.
And then there is this:
Today’s vote is expected to see a substantial turnout with Reuters reporting that according to organizers from the center-right party by midday the participation rate was 10 to 15% higher than in last week’s first round.
Public reactions to the two candidates are, as in other recent political votes, polarizing.
“He’s not ashamed of being on the right, and even less of being Catholic,” Fillon backer Valerie Sonnard, a childminder in her forties, told Reuters at a polling station in Toulouse, southern France on Sunday.
“My choice is Francois Fillon because I don’t want a right that is tainted by the left,” said Harold Bakinsian, a 51 year-old architect voting in Frejus on the Mediterranean coast.
As the two candidates voted, Fillon told reporters: “It is the voters who are talking now, not the candidate.”
Juppe meanwhile said he was proud of his campaign, but also complained over the way he had been cast on social media as soft on Islamist militancy – a sensitive subject in France, where more than 230 people have died in Islamist militant attacks since January last year. “Some truths came out too late,” he said.
Since any registered voter can take part in the primary, the outcome of the vote is especially hard to predict.
Well, now the outcome of the vote is in. Fillon wiped out Juppe by a 70% to 30% margin.
Below I am reposting the results post from our catholic Zero Hedge website.
The significance of this vote is that the most likely final round of the French Presidential Election next year will be Marie Le Pen and Francois Fillon. Both candidates can be described as social conservatives and RATIONAL NATIONALISTS whose social agenda is practically identical. It will be on the economic agenda where they differ.
Actually, Marie Le Pen has been trying to soften here position with respect to the “intrinsically disordered” of late. However after this vote, it appears as if she can return to a more “anatomically correct” position. Aside, here niece Marion Jeanne Caroline Maréchal-Le Pen is a favorite of this blog since she does not hide the fact that she is… well… a Catholic. (see here)
On a higher level, what we see is another country where the TRANSRATIONAL “leftist position” parties have been wiped out. This comes on the back of a Labor (UK) wipe out in 2015, SLD (Poland) not getting into the last parliament, Democratic Party (US) marginalized to a few large urban areas.
And now, we see that in French, a sitting leftist president, with a popularity in the neighborhood of 10%, can’t make up his mind whether to run. And if he does, he will be clobbered in the first round.
And this above is transpiring in an environment where the Italians have a referendum in one weeks time where their leftist party will most likely lose. And on the same day, an euro-sceptic, right wing president will most likely be elected in Austria.
Folks, this is YUUUUUUGE.
And now, the Zero Hedge post with the good news (see here)
As previewed earlier today, in the biggest political event on Sunday, the runoff round in the French Republican primary, moments ago the first results have started trickling in, and it is shaping up as a monumental victory for Francois Fillon, who served as French prime minister from 2007-2012, and who according to the provisional count has 69.5% of the primary vote, in a move that may once again prove beneficial for Marine Le Pen as the more moderate, and former favorite, Alain Juppe is now almost certainly eliminated.
- FILLON HAS ABOUT 69.5% OF PRIMARY VOTE, PROVISIONAL COUNT SHOWS
- JUPPE HAS ABOUT 30.5% OF VOTE, PROVISIONAL COUNT SHOWS
The vote’s outcome means that it will be up to Fillon to prevent the collapse of the French establishment, as it will be up to him to prevent Le Pen from winning in next May’s presidential election. It remains to be seen how successful he is in unifying the anti-protest vote.
As a reminder, the 62-year-old racing car enthusiast who lives in a Loire valley chateau, Fillon promises radical reforms to France‘s regulation-encumbered economy, vowing to roll back the state and slash government’s bloated costs.
Some policy highlights:
- On foreign policy: Fillon has a positive outlook on Paris’ relations with Moscow. Unlike Juppe, who sees Russia as more of a threat to be contained, the 62-year-old has called Moscow a “crucial partner” for Europe and has supported calls for the lifting of sanctions against Russia.
- Fillon is the author of a book called, “Beating Islamic Totalitarianism,” and advocates a hard line against Islamist terrorism at home. He wants to bar French jihadists from returning to France after fighting in Syria or Iraq by stripping them of their citizenship. Juppe has a somewhat softer approach to terrorism and supports the arrest of jihadists returning from Iraq or Syria. He has also made calls to place suspected Islamist radicals who pose a threat under house arrest
- On the economic front, Fillon advocates tough free-market positions. His economic proposals include cutting 500,000 to 600,000 civil servant jobs and cutting public spending by €110 billion ($117bn). He also wants to raise the retirement age from the current 62 years to 65 years and VAT rates by 3.5 percent. The Republican also advocates for ending the 35-hour work week, allowing unions to negotiate up to 48-hour working weeks.
- On social policy, Fillon, for instance, opposes same-sex partners adopting children. Such a conservative agenda has allowed him to secure votes among anti-gay marriage groups. He also advocates making it harder for children born to foreign surrogate mothers to obtain French citizenship.
In a curious twist, as explained earlier, the now virtually assured win for Fillon could give the highly unpopular current president Francois Hollande a potential “in” to attempt another run at the presidency himself, giving him a target to attack and could convince him to make a bid for a second five-year mandate against the odds. His Prime Minister, Manuel Valls, is also gearing up to stand. The Socialist primaries are due to take place in January.